Day-Ahead Electricity Demand Forecasting: Post-COVID Paradigm

- Submission Due Date:
- 04/19/2021
- Citation Author(s):
- Submitted by:
- Mostafa Farrokhabadi
- Last updated:
- Tue, 03/02/2021 - 15:56
- DOI:
- 10.21227/67vy-bs34
- License:
- Creative Commons Attribution
- Categories:
- Keywords:
Abstract
Notice:
- Data is now available to registered users.
- Registration closed on March 1, 2021.
The ongoing COVID-19 related shutdowns have had a profound impact on the electric demand profiles worldwide, as governments put strict mitigation and/or suppression measures in place. The global electrical demand plummeted around the planet in March, April, and May 2020, with countries such as Spain and Italy experiencing more than 20% decrease in their usual electric consumption. In view of such massive electric demand changes, electricity network operators are facing unprecedented challenges in scheduling energy resources, as energy forecasting systems struggle to provide an accurate demand prediction. In fact, power systems operational reliability highly depends on an accurate projection of the future demand and scheduling an appropriate mixture of generation resources accordingly. Particularly, day-ahead forecasts are critical in managing market operation uncertainty. Thus, recent changes expose operators to technical and financial risks, further reinforcing the adverse economic impacts of the pandemic.
Objective
This competition aims at a detailed analysis of the impacts of the COVID-19 related measures on electricity demand, calling for strategies to mitigate the impact on day-ahead forecasting techniques’ performance. In particular, the competition is focused on day-ahead prediction of city-wide demand. The competition includes one-track only, deterministic forecasting of hourly load, 16 to 40 hours ahead.
Data
Data includes historical demand, historical weather observations, and historical weather forecasts. Data is obtained from a real-world utility and weather service providers, and thus may be contaminated with issues such as missing periods, anomalies, etc. Details of data will be provided to registered participants.
Evaluation Format
The test data will cover 30 batches of 1-day each. Evaluation takes place in 30 phases. Contestant must provide a day-ahead forecast based on the most recent released data. More details with respect to submission rules will be released closer to the evaluation period.
Evaluation Metric
The final winners will be determined by the Technical Committee based on predictions mean absolute error (MAE) per phase, documentation, reproducibility, etc.
Important Dates:
- Dec. 14, 2020: Historical data release
- Mar. 1, 2021: Registration deadline
- Mar. 15, 2021: Evaluation period starts – first batch of test data release
- Apr. 13, 2021: Evaluation period ends – last batch of test data release
- Apr. 19, 2021: Final report and code submission deadline
- May 3, 2021: Winners announced
Prizes
- 1st place: $5000 USD
- 2nd place: $3500 USD
- 3rd place: $1500 USD
Publication
The Technical Committee has currently submitted a Special Issue application to an IEEE PES journal, aimed at pre-approving the competition winners for publishing in the Special Issue. The Spcial Issue is currently pending approval from the IEEE PES Publication.
Registration Requirement
Registrants should use an official academic, government, or industry instituition email. Personal emails will not be accepted.
Technical Committee
- Dr. Jethro Browell, University of Strathclyde, Scotland
- Dr. Mostafa Farrokhabadi, BluWave-ai, Canada
- Dr. Stephen Makonin, Simon Fraser University, Canada
- Dr. Wencong Su, University of Michigan-Dearborn, US
- Dr. Yi Wang, ETH Zurich, Switzerland
Competition Advisor:
- Dr. Hamidreza Zareipour, University of Calgary, Canada
Sponsors
- IEEE DataPort
- IEEE PES PSOPE WG on Energy Forecasting and Analytics
- IEEE Foundation Donor Supported Program
- Data is provided courtesy of BluWave-ai.
Contact
- Dr. Mostafa Farrokhabadi, mostafa.farrokhabadi@ieee.org
- Ms. Melissa Handa, melissa.handa@ieee.org
Coming soon.
Comments
Request for participation
Dear Sir,
I would like to participate in the competition. This will be a good opportunity for me and my students in learning to solve real engineering problem in electricity sector.
We thank you very much for your help.
Best regards,
Novalio Daratha
Request for participation in the data competition
Dear Sir/Madam,
My name is Haftu Reda. I am interested to participate in the IEEE DataPort Data Competition. The project competition aims on a very timely power engineering issue and it seems to be related to my PhD research. I believe that my participation would be very important to me and to our research hub at the University. I would be very eager to apply my skills, to learn about the challenges and to produce tangible outcomes to the research field.
I greatly appreciate your consideration of my request.
Request for participation
Hello,
I am Vinayak Sharma, a PhD student at the University of North Carolina at Charlotte. My research interest is on energy forecasting and it perfectly aligns with the competition. I would like to participate in the competition. I would appreciate your consideration of my request.
Thank you,
Vinayak Sharma
vsharm12@uncc.edu
Request for Participation
Dear Dr. Farrokhabadi,
I would like to participate in the competition as it will help me with my research for my Masters thesis.
Thank you.
Marwan
Request for Participation
Dear Sir/Madam,
I am a student from Hunan University. My research thesis is about the load forcasting, I am interested to participate the day- ahead electricity demand forcasting.
Thank you.
Yixiu Guo
Request for Partecipation
Hello,
I am a Ph.D. student from Bielefeld University (Germany).
The competition is closely connected to my research topic.
Thus, I would like to participate in the competition.
Thank you,
Andrea Castellani
Request For Participation
Respected Sir/ Madam,
I am a Ph.D. student from National Institute of Technology Patna, India. I am interested in participating in the IEEE DataPort Data Competition. The project competition is related to my PhD research work. Participation in this competition will be helpful to me and will boost my research. I would appreciate your consideration of my request.
Thanking you in Anticipation.
Harsh Wardhan Pandey
Request For Participation
Hello there,
I'm Chun Fu, a PhD student from National University of Singapore.
I'm hoping to participate in this competition to further explore opportunities to save energy in buildings or grids.
Here's my email address: chunfu@u.nus.edu
Thanks!
Sincerely,
Chun Fu
Request For Participation
Respected Sir/ Madam,
I am a PhD student from National Institute of Technology Patna, India. I am interested in participating in the IEEE DataPort Data Competition. The project competition is related to my PhD research work. Participation in this competition will be helpful to me and will boost my research. I would appreciate your consideration of my request.
Thanking you in Anticipation.
Harsh Wardhan Pandey
Request for participation
Dear Sir,
I would like to participate in the competition. This will be a good opportunity for me and my students in learning to solve real engineering problem in electricity sector.
We thank you very much for your help.
Best regards,
Miha
Request for participation
Dear Sir,
I would like to participate in the competition. This will be a good opportunity for me and my students in learning to solve real engineering problem in electricity sector.
We thank you very much for your help.
Best regards,
Wenlong Liao
Request for data set and participation.
Kindly share the data and allow us to participate in the competition. My research group works in forecasting of energy market and load, restructuring and deregulation. My team would like to participate in this competition.
要求参加
我们想参加比赛。我的研究小组致力于能源负荷的预测,这将是一个学习的好机会。
Request for data set and participation.
Dear Sir,
I would like to participate in the competition. This will be a good opportunity for me and my students in learning to solve real engineering problem in electricity sector.
We thank you very much for your help.
Best regards,
Rakesh
Request for participation
I am a PhD student from Thapar Institute of Engineering and Technology Patiala, India. I am interested in participating in the IEEE DataPort Data Competition.This will be a good opportunity for me .
I thank you very much for your help.
Best regards,
Neelam Rani
Request for participation
Dear Sir/Madam,
I am a master's degree graduate in power engineering from the University of Sydney, Australia, currently working as application technology engineer in power distribution-related industry in Malaysia. I am interested to participate in this IEEE DataPort Data Competition because it is highly related with my technical background and interest.
Thank you very much.
Best regards,
Dody Ismoyo, B.Eng, M.Eng
Request for participation UNAL-GERS team
Dear Organizers
We would like to participate in the competition.
Our team is a cooperation Academia-Industry.
We thank you very much for your help.
Best regards,
_________________________________
Sergio Rivera, E.E, PhD, IEEE Senior Member
Head of Electrical Engineering Doctoral and Master Programs
Associate Professor
Universidad Nacional de Colombia
email: srriverar@unal.edu.co
Dear Organizers,
I would like to participate in this competition as it fits my ongoing research activities as a PhD student.
Best Regards,
Akylas Stratigakos
Request for participation
I am a master's degree graduate from the Sharif University of Technology. I am willing to participate in this competition. I believe that my Machine Learning (ML) skills and my background in power systems would help me fulfill this task.
Best regards,
Ali Arjomandi Nezhad
A.Arjomandi@alum.sharif.edu
Request for participation
I would like to participate in the competition.
Regards,
email: phillipe.vilaca@urjc.es
Request for participation
I would like to participate in the competition.
Can you give me access?
cherry4952@konkuk.ac.kr
Request for participation
I'm a master's student at Lakehead University, and my research area includes the forecasting of power consumption. I have experience in creating a forecast model of one day-ahead energy consumption of the local grid. I want to participate in the competition.
Best regards,
Jiawei Dong
jdong4@lakeheadu.ca