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First Name: 
Christian Marius
Last Name: 
Lillelund

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Predicting future events always comes with uncertainty, but traditional non-probabilistic methods cannot distinguish certain from uncertain predictions. In survival analysis, probabilistic methods applied to state-of-the-art solutions in the healthcare and biomedical field are still novel and their implications have not been fully evaluated. In this paper, we study the benefits of modeling uncertainty in deep neural networks for survival analysis with a focus on prediction and calibration performance.

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