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Analysis

Model 2.3

Citation Author(s):
Konstantinos Theodorakos
Submitted by:
Konstantinos Theodorakos
Last updated:

Abstract

 

 

Model 2.3

 

Clustered-meter average monthly ratios

 

 

Monthly (kWh) consumption clustering:

 

1. Twelve clustering models (one per month of signup): Agglomerative Clustering

2. Clustering using (daily kWh) consumption extracted features. Cluster count set to 5-12: final count is decided by maximum silhouette score of euclidean distances.

 

Features (170) from weekend/weekday and full series:

- Statistical: median, variance, quantiles, ...

- Time-series: autocorrelations, trends, seasonalities, ...

 

Forecasting for a meter: Using the mean montly consumption + in-cluster month-to-month ratios.